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ROBERT C. TURNER
Skidmore College
The Political Economy of Gubernatorial
Smokestack Chasing: Bad Policy and Bad Politics?
Why do states persist
in offering large financial incentives to induce firms to relocate to
or expand in the state, a practice commonly derided as "smokestack
chasing?" The conventional wisdom is that while these incentives
have little effect on firms' business decisions in the long term, they
are a good political strategy for governors seeking to improve economic
conditions and political support in the short term. I test these hypotheses
by examining the economic and electoral impact of industrial recruitment
policies in Wisconsin, Virginia, Michigan, North Carolina, Maryland, Indiana,
and Kentucky. I find, first, that these policies pay immediate dividends
for governors by increasing county-level job growth and per capita income
prior to the next election. Second, governors recruit firms strategically
to relocate to counties that opposed them in the previous election. But,
third, this industrial recruitment does not increase electoral support
for the governor. In fact, the more success a governor has in recruiting
firms or jobs to a county, the fewer votes he or she receives in it in
the next election.
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